A
year ago, in August
2005, Alan Greenspan,
the then US central
Banker, warned if American
home buyers continued
to drive property prices
higher, they would risk
a crash. He believed
that the existing house
price had created an
economic imbalance.
Although the comments
had an immediate impact
on the Wall Street with
a significant fall in
share prices, sales
in the American housing
market hit a fifth consecutive
record in 2005.
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The
trend persisted
until the end
of the summer
of 2006 but
as the fall
approached signs
of a downturn
became apparent
and Greenspan's
apprehensions
began to materialize.
Suddenly home
sellers found
it hard to sell
their homes
and their "For
Sale" signs
needed to be
in place for
even months
in some cases
, which they
had never anticipated.
Gone were the
familiar scenes
of buyers running
after sellers.
Instead it was
the seller who
started running
after the buyer
trying to woo
them through
cutting their
asking prices. |
Buyers making feverish
bidding leading to the
forecast of an annual
30% increase or more
in house prices is now
history. According to
some analysts U.S. home-price
growth is now seeing
the sharpest slowdown
in three decades.
Not that less attractive
places in the country
are the ones to experience
the slump; the impact
is being felt more or
less everywhere, even
in Las Vegas, where
some areas registered
a fall in the house
prices by about 5% in
September this year.
Some buyers even got
the asking prices reduced
three or four times
before signing a deal,
the housing market in
America thus virtually
becoming a buyer's market.
The National Association
of Realtors (NAR), USA,
has reported the biggest
drop in home prices
since the trade group
began compiling price
data in 1968. According
to the association,
the median price for
home sales completed
in September was $220,000,
down 2.2% from a year
earlier. Some analysts
predict that the housing
price will continue
to fall for the next
six months or even for
a year, and the fall
may be as bad as 10%
or more. However, confident
real estate agents rule
out a double-digit price
fall.
There is no doubt that
the housing industry,
which contributed about
$2 trillion to the U.S.
economy last year, is
very important to U.S.
economy. The fall in
the price may be attributed
to over supply in the
market, over inflated
price and incorrect
speculations. There
is also a belief that
all the talk in the
media strongly influenced
the buyer's purchasing
decision. Buyers have
now become cautious
and to some extent shaky.
Some are even waiting
for a further tumble.
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