The
news of this year's
Nobel Peace Prize going
to Muhammad Yunus and
Grameen Bank is inspiring
to anybody concerned
with the well-being
of today's troubled
world. Additionally,
for all South Asians
this joy inevitably
comes laced with a pleasing
shot of chauvinism.
As a practicing economist
I have for long followed
and admired Muhammad
Yunus's experiments
with microcredit and
bold anti-poverty initiatives.
More than a decade ago
I heard him give a lecture
to a full house in Stockholm.
The entire audience
was touched by his charisma
and his genuine secular
and humanistic concerns.
The story of Grameen
is by now a familiar
one. An ordinary, middleclass
professor of economics
began with his own money-the
equivalent of 27 dollars-to
lend to 47 very poor
people, encouraging
them not to simply eat
up the loan but to try
to become self-sufficient
and break out of the
grip of poverty. From
this humble beginning,
the project to lend
small sums of money
to the needy grew till
it became a global eye-catcher.
Today Grameen has 2.5
million customers, who
have a loan repayment
rate of over 95%, a
figure that even commercial
banks seldom achieve,
and it has a total cumulative
loan of $3.5 billion.
It is an idea that has
been copied and tried
in several nations,
not just developing
countries but even industrialized
ones.
As a bank it has had
remarkable success but
what about Yunus' original
aim of helping the poor
break out of poverty.
How has Grameen performed
in terms of this yardstick?
In our part of the world
we tend not to question
anything that is done
by a venerated person.
But skepticism is always
a desirable quality
and we must insist on
scientific evidence.
For a long time there
was very little hard
evidence on the anti-poverty
impact of Grameen. Some
new data and excellent
research by Shahidur
Khandker, published
in the World Bank Economic
Review, has now shed
light on this question.
In 1991-92 the Bangladesh
Institute for Development
Studies and the World
Bank surveyed 1,798
households and then
in 1998-99 did a follow-up
study of many of the
same households, thereby
creating a panel dataset.
The analysis of this
data establishes beyond
doubt the huge impact
that microfinance has
had on the standard
of living of the poor.
Households receiving
microcredit saw a 5%
per annum expenditure
growth over 1992-99,
which is well over the
general average. And,
of he total decline
in poverty in Bangladesh
between 1992-99 over
40% can be attributed
to Grameen-Bank type
microfinance.
Two pioneering ideas
underpin the Grameen
experiment. First is
the use of women as
the main recipient of
credit. A full 95% of
Grameen's credit goes
to women. This has had
a major impact on empowering
women and through that
making society more
progressive. Second,
it was decided by Yunus
to form small groups
of people and lend money
to individuals within
the group while holding
the whole group responsible
for the repayment. This
clever idea of 'peer
monitoring' has caused
Bangladesh to achieve
a loan repayment statistic,
which is the envy of
the world. It has also
fuelled research. Interestingly,
one of the first formal
models of peer monitoring,
inspired by Muhammad
Yunus' work, was by
another Nobel laureate
(of economics), Joseph
Stiglitz.
Despite these clever
ideas and the many studies,
the phenomenal success
of Grameen remains a
bit of a mystery. Attempts
to replicate it have
not had the success
that it has had in Bangladesh.
I have read Yunus' own
writings on the subject-such
as his superb Commonwealth
Lecture of 2003. But
I do not fully understand
how he did it, and I
am convinced that there
is no good enough guide
to this. Many of the
most talented people
have this trait-they
are better at doing
what they do than saying
how they did it. I doubt
if Tiger Woods' account
of how to play golf
will ever match up to
his golf. Likewise,
I doubt Bill Gates will
ever be able to explain
to us how he achieved
what he did. That is
in fact what genius
is all about.
So all said and done,
one has to admit that,
while Grameen Bank's
success owes a lot to
the ideas and hard work,
it also has had what
other such programs
in other countries have
not had-the inspiring
presence behind it of
a maestro.
Dr. Yunus's entrepreneurial
skill is remarkable
indeed. But what is
more remarkable is that,
while most people gifted
with such a handsome
endowment of this skill
use it on themselves,
he chose to use it so
totally on others-the
poor and the dispossessed
of this world. This
is the kind of Nobel
Peace Prize that, more
than raising the recipient's
stature, raises the
stature of the prize
itself. Congratulations.
Kaushik Basu is Professor
of Economics and Director,
Center for Analytic
Economics, Cornell University.
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